Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Rick up big in new poll... by 14 points... 50 to 36...

The new highly publicized poll is really really bad news for Bill White coming just hours after turning in such a disappointing campaign cash on hand number (link). Excerpt follows...




Texas Gov. Rick Perry has his largest lead over former Houston Mayor Bill White thus far in the campaign, according to a new statewide poll for KENS 5 and Texas Belo television stations.
That's the highlight of a telephone poll conducted last week questioning 1,000 likely Texas voters about their preferences in the Texas gubernatorial race and other campaign issues.
With just about four weeks until the November election, the poll found that Perry is putting distance between himself and White.
The current lead is 50 percent to 36 percent. That's the largest margin by Perry so far in this campaign.
Nine percent of voters remain undecided. Another three percent of the likely vote goes to third-party candidates. The margin of error for the poll was plus or minus 3.7 percent.
Perry has his largest lead in West Texas, the Rio Grande Valley and -- surprisingly -- here in San Antonio, where the poll shows Perry getting 49 percent of the vote to White's 36 percent.
White has spent a lot of time and money campaigning in San Antonio, his home town, but the poll shows the momentum remaining with Perry.
"Gov. Perry starts out his campaign with a big advantage," said David Iannelli of Public Strategies, which conducted the poll. "That is, counter to the rest of the nation, the majority of Texans think the state is heading in the right direction."
Our poll shows 52 percent of voters think the state is heading in the right direction.

Important numbers.



13 as in days left before early voting begins
4 as in weeks left before election day

50 Rick is over that allegedly magic hump that incumbents are supposed to reach
36 Bill White can't seem to break into the mid forties and in this one even into the high thirties
10 as in millions that Rick has in the bank
3 as in Bill White doesn't even have 3 million in the bank

Bill White has way more Facebook likes and comments though (link)... and a lot of trial lawyer friends who are running newspaper ads for him...

Rick's border ad...



Pretty good... definitely stronger than Bill White's weird ads... although some of Bill White's negative ads against Rick are pretty hard hitting... I just don't know if people are receptive to that stuff. It all sounds like mud slinging when in reality people are voting their pocket books and voting that Texas is doing better than other states economically especially liberal states...

Bill White Morning News...

Of all the major papers, I think the Dallas Morning News has become the worst and most slanted. Some of the newspapers like the Houston Chronicle or the Austin American States whack both sides up side the head with a clear but not reeking bias in favor of Bill White... the Dallas Morning News is just doing its best to become a member of the Bill White campaign...

Texas Galt explains this phenomenon well (link). Excerpt follows...
The nature of the Morning News report and the timing smell to high heavens. Reportedly, 8 donors out of 120 funding recipients made a donation to Perry. Think about that for a moment. . .8 out of 120 in RedState Texas. This is the type of reporting that led me after 25 years of starting every day with the Morning News to drop my subscription.
The Dallas Morning News has taken basically all of its budget and put it toward special investigations of Rick... whether it was the ex post factor appraisal... or this nonsense...

Monday, October 4, 2010

Tea Party peeps trending toward Rick... but here are some peeps we found that are only somewhat enthusiastic...

The Associated Press... give me a break (link). Excerpt follows...

Gov. Rick Perry enjoys pounding the podium at tea party rallies and rails against Washington. He regales listeners about the 10th Amendment and states' rights.

"If you care about America, if you care about taking this country back, you find you a tea party. Get involved," Perry shouted to thousands who gathered in Tyler in East Texas to see him with conservative talk show host Glenn Beck in April.

But as Perry campaigns for a third full term, he may have to look for a tea party himself. While members of the movement say Perry is preferable to Democrat Bill White, many are focusing their energy on down-ballot races, not the top-of-the-ticket contest.


I think there is definitely something to this... tea party members pretty much hate all politicians... but other than maybe Sharron Angle or Jim DeMint... or a few others... possibly Palin in a roundabout way... I don't think there is a major politician out there who connected more with tea parties than Rick...

Really it is remarkable how much tea party support Rick got in the primary... which is obviously what pushed him over without a run off...

The George Soros of Texas?

Matt Angle is the DC based liberal who is the de facto leader of the Democratic Party in Texas...

Steve Mostyn might better be paralleled to George Soros at this point now that Fred Baron and John O'Quinn have passed away. Mother Jones profiles the Texas Democratic Trust (link). Excerpt follows...
Much of this wouldn't have been possible without Angle—and without the late Fred Baron, a Texas lawyer whose hefty donations to Democratic causes led some to dub him "the Texas George Soros." Together, they created a state-based organization with a single clear mission: Help Democrats take Austin in five years.
The new Texas Soros is Steve Mostyn. Will he keep the Texas Democratic Trust open? The original mission was very time specific and runs out this year...

After Democrats get smacked around, what will happen to this Washington based group? What happens to the funding when it becomes clear 2012 will be just as bad for Democrats as 2010 was? Will a new group pop up in 2014 when "demographics" will have allegedly shifted the state?

Time will tell won't it.

Friday, October 1, 2010

Bill White is the most mysterious liberal in the world...

Nice...



Not quite as funny as the Real Liberal Genius or whatever it was called against Chris Bell back in 2006... but still a great effort... and in fact this one is enhanced with the now familiar video of Bill White looking like he is hiding something with his eyes looking around the room.

Twin blogs from Burka on Annise Parker's truth telling damage to Bill White...

Annise Parker has been a figure in the gubernatorial race so far... I wouldn't go so far as to call her a key or central figure... but she has been a figure...

Why?

Early in her new term as mayor she said... and I quote...

“For years now, we have spent more money than we have taken in. You can't spend more than you earn. It is a very unbusinesslike approach to running things.”

Burka has two blogs about it (link). Excerpt follows...

Too late, Parker recants

No one in Texas has done more harm to Bill White’s campaign (with the exception of Rick Perry and White himself, by not releasing his taxes) than his successor as mayor, Anise Parker. No sooner had she taken office last January than she threw White under the bus with the comment, “[F]or years we have spent more money than we have taken in.” 



Then he blogged this just minutes later (link)...

Under the bus again

Anise Parker has done it again. Bill White has been hit by the same bus twice. After defending Bill White yesterday against Perry’s charges that he mismanaged the city’s fiscal affairs, she then had this exchange with the Chronicle’s editorial page editor, John Wilburn:
Wilburn: “What do you think about Rick Perry using your words to attack Bill White?”
Parker: “I can’t say anything that isn’t really vulgar,” Parker said (with a grin and a grimace) . . . “I said it,” she added. “Funny thing is, I said it week after week after week as controller. I said it once as mayor and bingo! Every time I talk about Metro, Rick Perry puts something on the web.”
The gift that keeps on giving.



The real zinger he left off is this though...
 “My relationship with Bill White's a little tense right now.”
Speaks for itself...