Friday, April 15, 2011

New blog on the scene... the race to replace Kay...

This new blog called Replacing Kay Bailey is not my doing although it looks a lot like Rick vs. Kay design wise...

http://replacingkaybailey.blogspot.com/

Interesting... the senate race will get heated in the coming months I predict... and it doesn't really matter who the Democrats put up in 2012... the winner of the Republican primary will be the winner of the general election...

The logic then becomes which candidate is the most conservative and can send the biggest message to Washington... right now the grassroots heat seems to be with Michael Williams and Ted Cruz... with Roger Williams maybe a bit lagging behind those two...

Tom Leppert's run thus far as been fraught with problems but he has a lot of wealthy associates he can tap for donations... Elizabeth Ames Jones had a state wide tour nobody showed up to but she may be able to raise some money who knows...

The rumor mill is also saying that Dewhurst may just be comfortable as Liet. Governor for now and may run for Rick's spot in 4 years... although if he gets into the senate race he is probably the front runner based on name and money.

Others like Craig James are probably non starters... but he has good name identification and a good amount of money...

It will be interesting to follow along. I think the first quarter FEC reports are somewhat revealing but not really all that much... there are a couple of candidates who can compete with or without money... others will need to raise a lot more than a measly million dollars to be competitive with Dewhurst should he get into the race... I would also caution reading too much into the first quarter numbers since some candidates were pushing raising money the whole time and others weren't... the next quarter will probably get more interesting, and the aggregate of all the quarters will start to add up pretty quickly...

2 comments:

  1. RickvsKay, considering the likelihood of Abbott running for Lieutenant Governor in 2014, Dewhurst MIGHT go for the Governors's Mansion if Perry doesn't run again, but we wouldn't hold our breath for that.

    I'm betting that Dewhurst will be pressured to run for KBH's Senate seat because the current GOP field is embarrassing and he has $$$ and lots if it.

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  2. RickvsKay, when does the Legislative session in Austin end this month because we should be getting to know who's running for what by then ?

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Hey now, campaign characters. Be nice. I know a lot of you on both sides, so I don't want any overly foul language, personal attacks on anyone other than the candidates themselves, or other party fouls. I will moderate the heck out of you if you start breaking the bounds of civility.