Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Burka on the general election polls...

Burka has a pretty solid take on this (link). Excerpt follows...

This is not a good situation for a challenger. You don’t want to be in a race where most voters have already made up their minds. I was also struck by the figure that Perry has a modest lead (5%) among independent voters. As I have pointed out before, based on the findings of the UT/Texas Tribune poll, independent voters tend to be disgruntled Republicans who, when they get in the voting booth, break 4 to 3 in favor of Republicans.

These polls are worth little more than entertainment value at this stage of the race. The good news for White is that there really isn’t any bad news. Two-thirds of Texans want to see the health care bill repealed, according to Rasmussen, but it hasn’t affected his numbers.

It hasn't affected his numbers, because nobody knows yet where Bill White stands on ObamaCare... or just about anything else. All Rick and his peeps have to do is run one ad for a week talking about Bill White's support of ObamaCare and cap and trade, and his numbers will fall into the 30s...

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Hey now, campaign characters. Be nice. I know a lot of you on both sides, so I don't want any overly foul language, personal attacks on anyone other than the candidates themselves, or other party fouls. I will moderate the heck out of you if you start breaking the bounds of civility.