48-40...

Rasmussen has a new poll out showing Rick at 48 and Bill at 40... not that much movement (link). Excerpt follows...

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Texas now finds Perry with 48% of the vote, while Democratic challenger Bill White picks up 40% support. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

A month ago, Perry crossed the 50% mark for the first time in the contest, leading White, a former Houston mayor, 51% to 38%.

Still, in surveys stretching back to January when White first entered the race, Perry’s support has remained in the narrow range of 47% to 51%. White’s support has fluctuated from a low of 38% to a high of 44%.

[SNIP]

Fifty-three percent (53%) of all voters in the state now approve of the job Perry is doing as governor. Forty-five percent (45%) disapprove. This marks little change from a month ago.

Perry holds a double-digit lead among male voters, while White edges him slightly among female voters. Voters not affiliated with either major party prefer the Republican by 14 points.

I am sticking with my long standing prediction of a 10 point win for Rick... which is about the average for recent public polls in this race so far...

Polls will fluctuate up and down. There may be polls showing it "tied" or within the margin of error... but it will be a double digit win for Rick in the end.