Rick Perry is leading by a large margin over Democrat Bill White according to a poll commissioned by the Choctaw Nation on a number of issues, but that also asked about the governor's race. The poll is about three weeks old, but just released.
The nitty-gritty: Perry is at 49 percent and White at 37. The logistics: poll was conducted by live telephone interviews of 1,000 likely voters between Aug. 25-29, with a margin of error of 3.1 percent. It was done by the firm of Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates -- a firm that has done polling for White.
12 point lead? Maybe. I have been predicting a 10% win for a while...
What you didn't mention is that this is Bill White's pollster for when he was mayor. This was also Tony Sanchez's pollster.
ReplyDeleteLooks like you forgot some of the information that calls into question the entire poll and alludes to it being bad data. Sure you were busy so I am adding it in the comments for you.
ReplyDeleteFrom the rest of the article:
There are a few hedges that should be noted. The poll is a little dated; you should sniff the carton before drinking in all the numbers. A slew of slightly more recent polls show the gap between candidates closer to 6 points. There was a likely oversampling in the Choctaw poll of Republicans. 53 percent of those polled self-identified with the GOP with only 28 percent saying they were Dems.
Other numbers of interest: Independents were breaking for White, 40 to 35. A greater percentage of Republicans were trending towards White (12 percent) as were Democrats trending towards Perry (6 percent). Perry was leading White by a large margin in the former mayor's hometown, 50 to 37 percent. Similar numbers for Dallas, 50 to 38 percent.
It's becoming very sad to see liberals coming on here to try to cushion the blow of defeat in Nov. It was funny now it's just plain sad...
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