It doesn't matter whether Perry or Hutchison wins the primary. The loser and their supporters can expect punishment and political exile for years to come. The loser's supporters may well be so angry at the negative campaign run by the victor, they simply skip the November general election.
Democrats can already smell the Republican blood-letting which is why even low name ID folks are signing up hoping to capitalize on a Republican train wreck.
[SNIP]
But the Perry campaign demonstrated that it will use every nasty trick in its arsenal to beat Hutchison. Her team fully understands the terms of engagement and will no doubt soon play at the same level.
Given an unpleasant primary, a damaged Republican nominee and a divided party, a marquee Democratic name could find a target of opportunity.
Tuesday, September 1, 2009
Will a nasty primary tear the GOP apart, or will it bring energy to the party?
Harvey with another gem of a commentary, filled with liberal wishful thinking (link). Excerpts follow...
One part of Harvey's wishful thinking that may be true is that this race will not be especially great for the eventual winner, who I believe will be Rick. He will have his name dragged through the mud, and people reminded about the same stupid attacks Carole made in 2006... in the end, it will be a big waste of time and money, except if Kay actually resigns and we can get a real conservative in there who actually does his or her job. If Kay does ever resign, she will probably lose to Rick and have to ride off into the sunset of retirement. If she doesn't resign and loses, then she is weakened, he is weakened, and the whole thing was a big waste.
One positive thing about contested primaries though as demonstrated by Obama and Hillary is that it does engage a lot of people and does bring a lot of people into the game who might have otherwise been on the sideline... competition, as they say, makes people better, and competition could end up helping Rick and Kay both define themselves in ways they may have avoided if a back room coronation had taken place instead.
So far... Rick is excelling at competition. Kay is overwhelmed by it.
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The guv's race has been wrapped up since the end of regular session. Rick's unstoppable.
ReplyDeleteThe real story of the GOP fracture that Kay is creating (assuming she doesn't resign her seat & throw it to White/Sharp) will be what happens to the state house. She's creating a situation where all the money is sucked up at the top of the ballot, and house districts will have no $$ left to protect the state house. The demographic shifts are frightening for Republicans at the local level, and now, thanks to primadonna Kay, the money won't be there to help. Some are expecting the TX house to go from 76-74 to 73-77 in favor of the Dems. Kay's legacy.