Thursday, October 7, 2010

Bill White's chances of winning down to 9.5% according to liberal New York Times stat guy...

Bill White's chances of winning have fallen to their lowest point since June... to 9.5%... Rick now has a 90.5% chance of winning according to the stat guy Nate Silver at Five Thirty Eight, now part of the New York Times (link). Excerpt follows...

This is a 5 point jump in the odds and Rick is now projected to win 52.0 - 43.9... which means 8.1 points as a margin right now with a few points still outstanding and unaccounted for. Getting very very close to my prediction of 10 points.

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Hey now, campaign characters. Be nice. I know a lot of you on both sides, so I don't want any overly foul language, personal attacks on anyone other than the candidates themselves, or other party fouls. I will moderate the heck out of you if you start breaking the bounds of civility.