Sunday, January 31, 2010

Focus groups sez Rick won the debate...

The Texas Tribune and KXAN did a focus group on debate night with ten undecided primary voters, and after the second debate half are still undecided... but 9 out of 10 said Rick won the debate. The other 1 said Medina won (link).

According to most polls there are between 10 and 20 percent undecided voters... Rick needs maybe half of them to break his direction to avoid a runoff and get 50% out right...

Mathematically there are almost no ways for Medina or Kay to win 50%, but they are both trying to force a run off where they believe they would stand a better chance one on one.

I think if any primary voters watched the second debate on a Friday night then Rick will likely avoid a runoff... just how many people actually watched though may be a very small number... and there are still two weeks before early voting starts for Kay to run her killer attack ad if she has one... now is the time for the bomb shell to drop...

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Hey now, campaign characters. Be nice. I know a lot of you on both sides, so I don't want any overly foul language, personal attacks on anyone other than the candidates themselves, or other party fouls. I will moderate the heck out of you if you start breaking the bounds of civility.