Could the Republican primary for Governor in Texas end up in a runoff between Rick Perry...and Debra Medina? Medina is coming on strong and polls now at 24%, just four points behind Kay Bailey Hutchison's 28%. Perry continues to hold a double digit advantage at 39%.
More bad polling news for Hutchison
Collin County was No. 5 in Republican turnout in the 2008 primaries, and it's in the backyard of U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, who has lived in Dallas for the past three decades.
But a new survey of Collin County voters shows Hutchison in a dead heat with activist Debra Medina.
Political consultant Joe Counter did a countywide survey of 300 likely Republican primary voters on Monday on behalf of four local candidates. He threw a horse-race question in about the governor's race. The result:
Gov. Rick Perry 43.3 percent
Hutchison, 22 percent
Medina, 22.7 percent
Undecided 11 percent
Refused to answer 1 percent
Counter said he was not surprised by the result.
"I've been thinking for awhile that the air is coming out of the tires on the Hutchison campaign, and Medina is gaining support with the Tea Party crowd," Counter said.
Counter said Perry has a "commanding lead" and the big question will be whether he can win without a runoff. And if Perry is in a runoff, Counter said he's not sure whether the opponent will be Hutchison or Medina.
"Medina continues to gain traction," Counter said.