Sunday, February 21, 2010

Surprisingly good article from the New York Times...

A lot of times these New York guys or the Washington set comes to Texas to write an article... and they totally miss the mark... but this one actually nails this race pretty well (link). Excerpt follows...

Never has a race for governor in Texas so clearly defined the difference between the country-club wing of the Republican Party, where elite business leaders sit astride the financial engines of Dallas and Houston, and the populist Reagan Republicans, talk-radio-fueled voters who are upset about issues like budget deficits, gun control and legalized abortion.

In a sense, Mr. Perry is the embodiment of white, conservative Democrats from the South who switched parties after Ronald Reagan’s presidency. The son of a West Texas rancher, he was an Air Force pilot before he won a Statehouse seat as a Democrat in 1984. He has never lost a race since.

Ms. Hutchison, who was first elected to the Senate in 1993, has rallied most of the Republican establishment behind her. Former President George Bush has endorsed her, as has former Vice President Dick Cheney. While President George W. Bush has not taken a public stand, several people close to him are working to elect her, among them Karen Hughes, his former political adviser.

But two weeks before the Republican primary on March 2, Mr. Perry has turned his fortunes around by promoting the Texas economy and railing against every decision in Washington, including the economic stimulus bill, the bank bailout legislation and the move to limit carbon emissions. On the stump, he often sounds as if he is running against the federal government.


Republican strategists and political scientists say Ms. Hutchison’s attacks have largely missed the mark.

“They keep going after Perry in ways that do not resonate with the general population, but only with insiders,” said Jim Henson, a political scientist at the University of Texas.


Ms. Hutchison acknowledges that a bigger-than-expected turnout is critical to her pulling off an upset. “I need for the November Republicans to turn out in the primary,” she said.

They also quote Rick as saying he is not planning on running for president in 2012... which I tend to agree with although his profile has definitely been raised after this campaign... and the field nationally is fairly thin.

The part about elitist Republicans versus the grassroots Republicans is really poignant. I think that has been part of Rick's campaign strategy... he or his peeps noticed it very early on. They were going to those tea parties before most mainstream politicians had even heard of them... Rick was making populist anti Washington and anti Obama statements back before Obama's popularity had plummeted and back when Charlie Crist and other Republicans were making nice with the president and moving to the middle or even the left...

Notice the picture of Kay in the article... she looks like she is going to cry. I think this whole ordeal has taken its toll on someone who was considered the most popular politician in Texas... someone who had a huge lead in every poll a year ago... being the first husband and wife pair to both lose the primary for Texas governor will be a very hard thing to accept...

The Prairie Pundit sums it up pretty well (link). Excerpt follows...
Texas has clearly done better than the other states over the last ten years and it is a mistake to try to denigrate that record. The better approach is a "we can do better" campaign which is what the Democrat Mayor White is using. But if Sen Hutchison is tainted by her ties to Washington and some of the votes she has had to make in recent years, White is being dragged down by being a Democrat in a state where only 20 percent of independents give President Obama a favorable rating.

Perry did tie himself to the Tea Party movement early on, but he has also been very smart in making himself available to the alternative media like bloggers. His attacks on Washington resonate with voters and make it difficult for Sen. Hutchison to get traction on the issues she has raised. While Sen. Hutchison has been good at attracting endorsements, they do not mean a lot in a race where both candidates are already well known.

I would not have any trouble supporting either of these candidates in the general election, but right now Perry is clearly the favorite of more likely voters and turning that around in two weeks will take a heroic effort.
Pretty much...

1 comment:

  1. Debra Medina is a REAL candidate that isn't controlled by international interests or American elitists. Mr. Stack espoused views that are in line with most of America, whether or not he crashed a plane into a building. personally, I wish he would have killed as many CIA and IRS @#$ks as possible. remember Nuremburg? Doing one's job is not an excuse for crimes against humanity. There is going to be a whole group of Medinas across this country, and it's time to get on the right side of history. The two party system is totally controlled by people who have no interest in helping anyone but the top 1%. 2010 is our last chance. vote'em out in 2010, or shoote'm out in 2011


Hey now, campaign characters. Be nice. I know a lot of you on both sides, so I don't want any overly foul language, personal attacks on anyone other than the candidates themselves, or other party fouls. I will moderate the heck out of you if you start breaking the bounds of civility.