Friday, February 19, 2010

New poll minus Medina shows Rick leading Kay by 24%...

A few peeps have emailed me this survey (link). It is not all that worthwhile since Medina is not included but it does confirm further than Rick is dominating over Kay...


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Survey of 30,000 homes in Texas

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Dear Friends of ccAdvertising,


ccAdvertising recently completed a statewide survey to 30,000 homes in Texas regarding the upcoming Republican Gubernatorial primary. The homes used were from ccAdvertising's nationwide database of landline and mobile phones and were distributed evenly by population density per nine digit zip code. 3,803 homes answered one or more questions for this survey.

The results show that in the Republican primary race for Governor of Texas, incumbent Governor Rick Perry carries a 24-point lead over Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison among likely Republican primary voters This lead shrinks to 11% when all respondents are considered in the results.

The results also show that in a hypothetical General Election between either Governor Rick Perry or Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison and presumed Democratic candidate Bill White, both candidates hold a strong lead over White with Perry ahead by 23-points and Hutchison ahead by 26-points.

Amongst respondents that identify themselves as supporters of the Tea Party movement, Governor Perry commands a 38-point lead over Hutchison.

A 50% majority is needed to avoid a run-off election. Traditionally, a large majority of undecided voters choose challengers over incumbents because the electorate already knows the incumbent. When looking at total respondents, this may be a factor in this Primary race.

Republican Primary Race - Rick Perry Vs. Kay Bailey Hutchison:

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IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY FOR GOVERNOR OF TEXAS WERE HELD TODAY AND YOUR CHOICES WERE EITHER RICK PERRY OR KAY BAILEY HUTCHISON, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR RICK PERRY?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

Rick Perry

37.41%

51.24%

58.98%

Kay Bailey Hutchison

25.83%

26.85%

20.67%

Undecided / No Preference

36.76%

21.91%

20.35%


Hypothetical General Election - Rick Perry vs. Bill White:

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IF YOUR CHOICES IN THE GENERAL ELECTION ARE REPUBLICAN RICK PERRY OR DEMOCRAT BILL WHITE, WOULD YOU VOTE TO ELECT REPUBLICAN RICK PERRY FOR GOVERNOR OF TEXAS?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

Rick Perry

55.03%

74.77%

80.45%

Bill White

31.51%

15.14%

10.65%

Undecided / No Preference

13.46%

10.09%

8.90%


Hypothetical General Election - Kay Bailey Hutchison Vs. Bill White:

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IF YOUR CHOICES IN THE GENERAL ELECTION ARE REPUBLICAN KAY BAILEY HUTCHISON OR DEMOCRAT BILL WHITE, WOULD YOU VOTE TO ELECT REPUBLICAN KAY BAILEY HUTCHISON FOR GOVERNOR OF TEXAS?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

Kay Bailey Hutchison

56.17%

72.67%

74.24%

Bill White

30.26%

14.81%

13.35%

Undecided / No Preference

13.57%

12.51%

12.40%


Demographic Questions:

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DO YOU SUPPORT A GOVERNMENT-RUN HEALTH INSURANCE PLAN?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

"Yes" Responses

27.04%

11.55%

9.87%

"No" Responses

72.96%

88.45%

90.13%


DO YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF TO BE A TEA PARTY PATRIOT?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

"Yes" Responses

44.58%

59.00%

100.00%

"No" Responses

55.42%

41.00%

0.00%


DO YOU PREFER TO HAVE YOUR TAXES NOT RAISED AND, IF POSSIBLE, CUT?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

"Yes" Responses

89.58%

95.71%

97.81%

"No" Responses

10.42%

4.29%

2.19%


ON THE ISSUE OF ABORTION, DO YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF TO BE PRO-LIFE?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

"Yes" Responses

67.60%

75.52%

81.63%

"No" Responses

32.40%

24.48%

18.37%


DO YOU AGREE WITH THE NRA AND ITS SUPPORT OF GUN OWNERS RIGHTS?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

"Yes" Responses

77.36%

88.64%

93.11%

"No" Responses

22.64%

11.36%

6.89%


FOR DEMOGRAPHIC PURPOSES ONLY, ARE YOU MALE?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

"Yes" Responses

41.89%

40.66%

43.95%

"No" Responses

58.11%

59.34%

56.06%


FOR DEMOGRAPHIC PURPOSES ONLY, ARE YOU 50 YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER?

All Respondents

Republicans

Tea Party Supporters

"Yes" Responses

72.24%

74.84%

73.75%

"No" Responses

27.76%

25.16%

26.25%


Rick will win. Now it is just a matter of how much and when... can Rick avoid a run off? I think Medina probably should have caved in further but her new found national attention... even the bad attention... seems to have maybe just maybe attracted as many people as she has turned away... 9/11 truthers exist and they now have a candidate they can get behind...

1 comment:

  1. Why does Kay even bother!?! I do not see one single poll, area, etc. in Texas politics that says that Kay will beat him. The same goes for Medina. The same goes for White.
    Seriously, it's ridiculous that those three knuckleheads think they will be the next Governor of the state of Texas. A state that is doing just fine with the man we've got! We are keeping him!

    ReplyDelete

Hey now, campaign characters. Be nice. I know a lot of you on both sides, so I don't want any overly foul language, personal attacks on anyone other than the candidates themselves, or other party fouls. I will moderate the heck out of you if you start breaking the bounds of civility.